Weather brief for tonight-Friday: Patchy fog developing late tonight as showers have moved on out! Temps will start in the upper 40s to low 50s tomorrow morning, then rebound into the upper 60s to mid 70s by late afternoon under intervals of clouds and sun. Friday will bring back a chance for t-storms, but it remains small (about a 20% chance for Upstate and 30% in mountains). Our next big weather maker arrives late Saturday.
Saturday-Sunday thinking: The latest model trends have been to place our next storm system farther south. It's a strong upper low and associated deepening surface low pressure that will move from Louisiana along the Gulf Coast then up the eastern seaboard (probably sounds like an interesting scenario to those of you who love snow forecasting!). Yesterday we looked poised to receive over 2 inches of rain as the low pressure passed close by, but now that low is farther south and the trough is digging more to the south as well on our models. Take home message is that the heaviest rain may fall south of us now. We'll still have periods of heavy rain, but the flood threat and severe weather potential don't look as ominous as of this evening. It's a system we need to keep an eye on for sure! It will bomb out over the northeast and provide enough lift and cold air advection to possibly bring a heavy spring snow to New York state and parts of New England. Cold air will also affect us, as the low pulls in some Canadian air into the Carolinas and GA. Overnight lows will drop back into the 30s for the mountains and low 40s for the Upstate early next week.