
Whether you love it or hate it, the unseasonable heat is sticking around for the short-term. Highs on Saturday will be in the mid to upper 80s, then close to that for Sunday as well. Each day we'll have the threat of showers and storms, but its going to be tough to pinpoint the timing of the rain. The reason for the difficult forecast is our upper flow. High pressure in the upper levels will move westward, which will bring us a northwest flow aloft. Within that flow, or storm track,we tend to see disturbances move in and spark showers and storms. It could happen in the morning, which would bring mostly rain with a few t-storms. But, if the disturbances arrive during the peak heat of the day it could spell severe weather. Damaging wind, large hail, and frequent lightning would be the main threats with late day storms. Forecasting the timing of disturbances within the northwest flow is very hard... but it does look like we may have some storms arriving in the mountains during Saturday morning according to the latest models.
By Monday we should notice slightly cooler temps as a weak front passes through, but then a strong front will head in for mid-week. I expect our best chance of storms in the next 7 days to be on Tuesday afternoon and evening. By Wednesday and Thursday, we should start to feel some less humid air and slightly cooler temps. Overnight temps may actually get back into the 40s area-wide by late week!