As of late this evening, a strong thunderstorm complex is pushing through the Tennessee Valley moving east-southeast. This is a storm complex I have been focusing on this afternoon and evening due to the potential of it having an impact on your Monday plans. For many, rain is needed! For others, rain is a nuisance. I'm not sure what category you fall into, but regardless, here's what to expect:
Monday Morning: These thunderstorm complexes (often referred to as MCS or Mesoscale Convective Systems) often take on a mind of their own and don't pay any attention to what is normal for late spring and early summer. Normal for us... that tired of adage of "scattered afternoon storm chance." It's a tired phrase because there really is no better way to explain how some towns will get rain and others will not and there's also no real way (yet) in identifying who will get rain and who won't in that afternoon/evening, humidity-fueled thunderstorm setup.
Well, forget that tired phrase for a moment... Monday will be a day where the chance of rain comes earlier in the day due to this system coming at us quickly.
I'll say that the best chance for morning rain will be in towns south and west of Greenville. Northeast Georgia and also southern Upstate towns will probably see most of the wet weather. But, again, sometimes these thunderstorm complexes take on an attitude of their own and expand while partly ignoring the upper-level winds steering them in a certain direction. Just as the image to the right points out, I would bet that many of the thunderstorms within this complex move a bit south of us tomorrow morning due to higher dewpoints/higher humidity levels to our south helping to fuel further storm development. We could see some storms within the line, but those are more likely well to the south of I-85. Also, in the "less likely" scenario above... I meant to start the top arrow near where the storm complex was and not near the rain north of the storms (as drawn). The point of the graphic is to try and identify where the storms are headed... not where some of the rain is headed.
Most Probable Situation: More than likely, some of the rain just north of the thunderstorm complex will move into NE Georgia, the Upstate and Western NC as early as 4am and last as long as mid-morning.
**So the thing to do is prepare for the potential of rain Monday morning.
Meteorologist Alex Wilson will be in bright and early to let you know where the rain is on Fox Radar 3D and spotlighting where that rain is headed on futurecast. Also, she'll have more on the lower humidity and somewhat cooler air headed our way around mid-week.