Tonight: Leftover rain is quickly pushing east out of the towns of Greenwood, Abbeville, Ware Shoals, Clinton and Laurens. The clouds are decreasing rapidly as well as a clear sky isn't too far off to our west.
Our sky will clear out by the early morning hours Thursday as temperatures plummet. Lows will sink into the low-mid 30s for Upstate areas and upper 20-low 30s for Western NC towns.
Thursday & Friday: A high pressure system will advance into the Tennessee Valley and overspread dry air along with a northwest wind across our region. This will knock out the potential for clouds and keep the sun out during both days. Expect chilly mornings with low 30s for Upstate towns and temperatures reaching the upper 50s by afternoon with the mountains about 5°-7° cooler than the Upstate/NE Georgia.
Weekend Rain - Timing: Alex & Kendra will have more information on the timing of this system for the weekend with some new information during the next few days. The scenario will become more clear if rain will move in Saturday night or wait until Sunday/Sunday PM.
Next Week: The strong storm system setup is still favored for next week as the last few European model projections show this scenario. In fact, this morning's 12z was an absolute powerhouse of a storm just inland of the Carolina coast. It's also worth noting that the last few GFS forecast model projections aren't digging the system as far to the south and ultimately have a weaker storm system setup. This is the time frame where the GFS loses systems many times and then within 4-5 days the GFS likes to latch onto it's original idea of a strong solution.
But, at this point, focusing on one specific forecast model projection or solution is pointless.
I still think a Western NC rain to snow transition is probable with an all rain event for the Upstate/NE Georgia. There is still a real possibility of the dry-slot moving right through the Upstate due to a low pressure storm track from Huntsville right over the top of our area. The Upstate would see more rain with a storm track to the east or west of us, but not right over our heads. There's still lots of time to gather new information with this system and we'll do that.