Early Spring Rain and Western NC Accumulating Snow
here's a projection of rain on radar as of 5am Sunday morning (high resolution forecast model)
here's a projection of rain on radar as of 8am Sunday morning (high res. forecast model)
here's a projection of rain on radar as of 11am Sunday morning (high res. forecast model)
Here's a projection of colder air rushing in with scattered, heavy snow coming down on radar as of Monday at 11am (high resolution forecast model)
Here's another projection of more widespread, heavy snow coming down along the NC ridge tops. This is valid for Monday at 5pm.
We dealt with some morning showers on Saturday, but the majority of the day's focus has been cloudy and cool conditions with a damp feel to the air. Unfortunately, Sunday won't be any brighter or provide better conditions to be outside.
Rainy Sunday: A more potent system moves our way tonight and many of us will wake up to rain coming down Sunday morning. The best chance for the occasional downpours will come tomorrow morning with lingering light rain or drizzle hanging around tomorrow afternoon and evening area-wide.
There will be some dry-time tomorrow after lunch between the light rain and/or drizzle.
Colder air will crash into the region late tomorrow and by Sunday evening, Western NC will see a transition to snow.
Western NC - Snowy Sunday Night, Monday & Tuesday: Expect prolonged heavy snow streamers to come down in spotty areas early next week along the higher ridge tops. First, the advancement of a cold flow on a west-northwest wind will put down snow mainly in areas above 2,500ft along west-northwest facing slopes. By late Monday, the wind direction will have changed to more of a NW to NNW which will cause snow to fall in areas north of Asheville instead of widespread in every county mentioned below.
A winter storm watch is posted for the following counties within our NC viewing area: Madison, Mitchell, Yancey, Swain, Haywood, Graham and northern Jackson. This watch goes from Sunday night to Tuesday afternoon and will likely be upgraded to a warning by Sunday. 3-8"of snow is possible within the watch area, although mostly confined to high elevations or high-ridge locations.