High pressure will control our area overnight and into Monday before a storm system brings moisture into our area Monday night through Wednesday. Overnight it will be mostly clear and cold with lows in the lower 20s in the Upstate and mid to upper teens in the mountains. Monday will start off sunny but clouds will increase as the day goes on. Highs will only be near 40 in the Upstate and in the upper 30s in the mountains.
Monday night a storm system moving out of the Gulf of Mexico will bring moisture to the area first as rain for everyone. Then during the late night/early morning hours this rain likely will change over to freezing rain in Western North Carolina and possibly portions of the Upstate.
There is a Winter Storm Watch for Henderson County and the mountainous areas of Rutherford and Polk Counties in North Carolina from Monday night into Tuesday morning. This area likely will see the most ice accumulation as it looks right now and that could be as much as a quarter of an inch. This amount could damage trees and power lines as well as cause the most travel issues.
The mountains outside of the watch area will also likely will see some freezing rain, but not as much ice accumulation. Thus, travel will still be tricky in areas of the mountains outside of the watch early on Tuesday morning. Right now, for the Upstate it looks like we will see mostly rain, but for a brief time portions of the northern Upstate could have the rain change over to freezing rain. In areas that see this occur, little or no accumulation is expected in the Upstate before it all changes back over to rain.
If you are going to be out early on Tuesday be sure to check on the latest weather and road conditions. As the day goes on, rain will become heavy at times across the entire Western Carolinas. Many areas could see between 2-4 inches of rain before the system moves out on Wednesday afternoon/evening.
Before the precipitation ends on Wednesday, it will likely change over to snow showers in the mountains with some accumulation likely. The heaviest accumulation will be in areas along the Tennessee border and the higher elevations of the mountains. For the Upstate, it is possible some of the rain could briefly change over to some snow showers late in the day on Wednesday, but little or no accumulation is anticipated.
Tuesday night and Wednesday winds will become gusty especially across the higher elevations.
This is a very complex weather system and the team of meteorologist at FOX Carolina will continue to track this system as it develops early in the week. Keep checking back with us on air and online at FOXCarolina.com for our latest forecast.
Fox Carolina Meteorologist