There has been a lot of increasing interest with the area of low pressure that originated over the upstate and made its way south where it now sits about 110 miles east of Melbourne, FL. If you've been keeping up with our blog, you know that I have been keeping tabs on this since this past Friday when development was near 0%!
The National Hurricane Center has since increased development chances to 80% for both the next 48 hours and next five days. Conditions continue to be conducive for tropical development, potentially giving us our first named storm of the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane season!
If this cluster of activity manages to organize a little more, we can officially categorize the low pressure area as a tropical depression. The name that would be given to this storm would be "Arthur" if conditions continue to progress.
A reconnaissance plane investigated this disturbance early today bringing back some useful information of the current "set up." Winds are sustain at about 35 miles per hour with a low pressure center at about 1,009 millibars.
In terms of movement, the area of low pressure is slowly moving southward at about 5 miles per hour. Spaghetti plots are beginning to show a trend for the forecasted path, bringing the system back toward the north and heading northeast along the Atlantic seaboard.
If it were to follow this track, expect it to affect the Charleston and Myrtle Beach areas by Thursday this week! Luckily for the Upstate and western North Carolina, this system will likely absorb much of the moisture across the southeast, giving us a pleasant and dry Independence Day.
As always, we will be keeping a close eye on this system in the days ahead. Stay with Fox Carolina for the latest and be sure to use our Tropics Tracker to keep an eye on the storm yourself!