Our projection model predicts the Michigan State Spartans will defeat the Maryland Terrapins on Saturday, September 23 at 3:30 PM. For a complete projection on the matchup at Spartan Stadium, which includes our prediction on the spread, over/under, and final score, keep reading.

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Maryland vs. Michigan State Predictions and Picks

ATS Pick Total Pick Score Prediction
Michigan State (+7.5) Under (52.5) Michigan State 28, Maryland 22

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Week 4 Predictions

Maryland Betting Info (2023)

  • The Terrapins have a 75.0% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The Terrapins have one win against the spread this season.
  • Maryland has an ATS record of 1-2 when playing as at least 7.5-point favorites.
  • Two of the Terrapins' three games have hit the over.
  • Maryland games this season have posted an average total of 51.2, which is 1.3 points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Michigan State Betting Info (2023)

  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 29.4% chance of a victory for the Spartans.
  • The Spartans are 2-1-0 against the spread this year.
  • Michigan State is winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs.
  • One of the Spartans' three games with a set total has hit the over (33.3%).
  • Michigan State games this season have averaged a total of 48.2 points, 4.3 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

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Terrapins vs. Spartans 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Maryland 39.3 13.3 39.3 13.3 -- --
Michigan State 27.7 20.7 27.7 20.7 -- --

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