Rays vs. Rangers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread - AL Wild Card Game 2

Published: Oct. 4, 2023 at 9:41 AM EDT|Updated: Oct. 4, 2023 at 2:43 PM EDT
Wednesday's contest between the Tampa Bay Rays (99-63) and the Texas Rangers (90-72) at Tropicana Field is expected to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Rays coming out on top. First pitch is at 3:08 PM ET on October 4.
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Rays will send Zach Eflin (16-8) to the mound, while Nathan Eovaldi (12-5) will take the ball for the Rangers.
Rays vs. Rangers Game Info & Odds
- When: Wednesday, October 4, 2023 at 3:08 PM ET
- Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: ABC
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
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Rays vs. Rangers Score Prediction
Our pick for this matchup is Rays 5, Rangers 4.
Total Prediction for Rays vs. Rangers
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Explore More About This Game
Rays Performance Insights
- The Rays have played as the favorite in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
- In its last 10 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.
- The Rays have not played a game with a spread over their last 10 outings.
- This season, the Rays have won 84 out of the 128 games, or 65.6%, in which they've been favored.
- Tampa Bay is 59-26 this season when entering a game favored by -145 or more on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 59.2% chance of a victory for the Rays.
- Tampa Bay is among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking fourth with 860 total runs this season.
- The Rays' 3.87 team ERA ranks fifth among all league pitching staffs.
Rangers Performance Insights
- In four games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Rangers have posted a mark of 2-2.
- In its last 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, Texas and its foes are 2-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Rangers' previous 10 matchups have not had a runline posted by sportsbooks.
- The Rangers have won in 23, or 47.9%, of the 48 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Texas has a mark of 8-11 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +120 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 45.5% chance of pulling out a win.
- Texas scores the third-most runs in baseball (881 total, 5.4 per game).
- Rangers pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.27 ERA this year, which ranks 18th in MLB.
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Rays Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
September 27 | @ Red Sox | W 5-0 | Tyler Glasnow vs Brayan Bello |
September 29 | @ Blue Jays | L 11-4 | Aaron Civale vs Yusei Kikuchi |
September 30 | @ Blue Jays | W 7-5 | Shawn Armstrong vs Hyun-Jin Ryu |
October 1 | @ Blue Jays | W 12-8 | Jacob Lopez vs Wes Parsons |
October 3 | Rangers | L 4-0 | Tyler Glasnow vs Jordan Montgomery |
October 4 | Rangers | - | Zach Eflin vs Nathan Eovaldi |
Rangers Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
September 28 | @ Mariners | L 3-2 | Jordan Montgomery vs Logan Gilbert |
September 29 | @ Mariners | L 8-0 | Nathan Eovaldi vs Bryan Woo |
September 30 | @ Mariners | W 6-1 | Andrew Heaney vs Luis Castillo |
October 1 | @ Mariners | L 1-0 | Dane Dunning vs George Kirby |
October 3 | @ Rays | W 4-0 | Jordan Montgomery vs Tyler Glasnow |
October 4 | @ Rays | - | Nathan Eovaldi vs Zach Eflin |
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